Friday, March 27, 2020

Covid-19 some stats

Please note I have now moved this information to a public Facebook page.
I update it daily. You can find it here:

https://www.facebook.com/dave.middleton.1232760/posts/584122958870050


On my Twitter feed I am producing a daily statistical digest. I am going to put it here in case people want a quick but accurate (based on official statistics) overview of what is currently happening particularly in the UK. I will, however, unlike most of the Britis media use other countries for comparison.

Statistical update 27th March 2020


This is an updated thread based on UK government stats. It is a summary of the current position. As of yesterday 578 people have died from the virus. That is a rise of 25% on the previous day. This is serious.
104,866 people have been tested. Of these, 88.8% are negative. However the percent of positive tests is increasing from 9.8% to 11.1%  a total of 11,658 people who have the virus. The death rate for those who test positive is currently 4.96% up slightly from the previous day.
It is now 21 days since the UK had its first death from the virus. On 27th February the @WHO called for an extensive testing regime. So far 0.15% of the UK population have been tested. Germany has been testing 120,000 people a week since late February (https://www.npr.org/2020/03/25/820595489/why-germanys-coronavirus-death-rate-is-far-lower-than-in-other-countries) Yesterday the UK tested 7,847 people, so less than 56,000 a week.
Those test figures are increasing daily which is good but they show how far behind a country like Germany we are. Germany recorded its first death on March 9th (just 4 days after the UK) and has had 281 deaths after 18 days. After the same number of days we had 422 deaths.
Public Health England is advising people to avoid self-testing as the kits on general sale are not believed to be accurate. 
The total number of deaths worldwide now stands at 24,117. The number of cases is 537,017 (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/)

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